Recently, we have had a couple of hi-action days with lower than normal strike-rates. However any damage at the end of the day has been minimal.
This is due to the winners having the biggest bets.
The importance of the bet scale becomes self-evident in these annoying periods.
Already this season there is an big difference between the maximum 2.0% E4 bets and the rest.
The $200 bets ($10k bank) have won three from five in August and made $1,120 net profit.
It is interesting to look at the stats of the $200 (2.0%) bets over the full period of the current algorithm.
Since January 2021, the $200 bets have won at 59% strike rate (65/110) and made $23,710 net profit (+108% pto).
In 2024, the strike rate is 56% (14/25) and since March it is 53% (9/17).
The 2.0% bets have been the one constant regardless of how the plan is travelling overall.
Their PLACE strike rate is 81% over the four years.
Platinum E4 Bet Size Stats
The 2021-2024 current algorithm stats for each of the Platinum E4 bet sizes is as follows:
1.0%: 159/511 (31% winners). Bet $51,100, Return $69,973, Profit $18,873 (+37%)
1.2%: 248/613 (40% winners). Bet $73,560, Return $112,766, Profit $39,206 (+53%)
1.4%: 42/114 (37% winners). Bet $15,960, Return $23,401, Profit $7,441 (+47%)
1.6%: 22/45 (49% winners). Bet $7,200, Return $14,976, Profit $7,776 (+108%)
2.0%: 65/110 (59% winners). Bet $22,000, Return $45,710, Profit $23,710 (+108%)
Pro-Strategy Bets.
On Saturday, the Pro-Strategy bets as listed for Mel and Syd won $110.
When we first shared the concept, we provided the list of basic rules that decided the eligibility of the raceday-listed Pro-Strategy bets to become qualifiers for this new concept.
The original idea was for members to apply those rules to the Elite Ratings Raceday Pro-Sheet Pro-Strategy bets.
Subsequent newsletters explained that those simple rules left a lot of non-Elite standard qualifiers.
We updated the algorithms and advised that we would calculate the bets and list the qualifiers for members on raceday.
For those who are not right up with the concept’s evolution (and may be trying to apply or reconcile the original rules), the following PDFs will explain the concept clearly, step by step.
Pro Strategy Concept Original Pdf
Pro Strategy Concept Update 1 Pdf
Pro Strategy Concept Update 2 Pdf
Latest Results, Pro-Strategy Betting
The Pro-Strategy concept looks at second and third rated selections.
Members have noticed that the Pro-Strategy list of bets did not include a couple of big-priced second-rated winners over the past two weeks.
The last rated race on August 3rd saw second-rated Gentleman Roy win at $12.80.
Amazingly, that was repeated on Saturday. Our second-rater in the final rated race, Home Rule, won at $14.00.
Both qualified under the original rules but were cut when the extra filters (Update 1) were applied.
It is frustrating to give up two huge winners like that however, they both defied the “Negative’s” long-term 12% strike rate and -30% profit rate.
Mel Long-Term Pro-Strategy Discards (Negatives)
For the ones that did qualify, the long-term (2021-2024) bottom line is a much different story.
Mel Pro-Strategy Qualifiers 2021-2024
Summary
Regards
Larry and Richard
